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Who is the author of 'Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction'?
What skills do superforecasters possess, according to Tetlock?Open-mindednessCritical thinkingContent expertiseTelepathyTime travel
What is the central theme of 'Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction'?
What statistical tool does the book suggest to measure the accuracy of forecasts?Brier ScorePearson correlationMean absolute errorStandard deviation
What does the book suggest to improve one's forecasting ability?
Who are considered the 'foxes' in the context of 'Superforecasting'?Researchers with diverse backgrounds and adaptable strategiesIndividuals with psychic abilitiesExperts sticking to a single discipline
According to the book, can predictions be improved with the use of algorithms?
What role does the concept of 'base rate' play in forecasting, as illustrated in the book?Provides a generic forecast before considering particularsIs irrelevant in making predictionsHelps decide when to make forecasts
Is 'Superforecasting' a fiction or a non-fiction book?
What term from the book denotes people with consistently good forecasting skills?SuperforecastersPredictorsFortune tellersSeers